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Appendix F Reference Case Projections by End…
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Appendix F
Reference Case Projections
by End-Use Sector and Region
Reference Case Projections by End-Use Sector and Region
Table F1. Total World Delivered Energy Consumption by End-Use Sector and Fuel, 2004-2030
(Quadrillion Btu)
Projections Average Annual
Percent Change,
Sector/Fuel 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2004-2030
Residential
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.9 11.5 12.2 12.7 12.9 13.0 0.7
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18.4 20.2 21.7 22.8 23.7 24.9 1.2
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.5 3.7 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.8 0.3
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14.3 17.8 20.4 22.6 24.6 26.6 2.4
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.2
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47.7 53.9 59.0 62.7 65.8 69.0 1.4
Commercial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.3 5.5 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.2 0.6
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.7 7.2 7.8 8.3 8.8 9.3 1.2
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11.7 14.6 17.0 19.2 21.5 24.0 2.8
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.8
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24.5 28.3 31.7 34.6 37.5 40.7 2.0
Industrial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55.5 61.0 64.5 67.9 70.9 74.2 1.1
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45.2 51.5 56.6 63.1 68.3 73.3 1.9
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35.4 39.5 45.3 50.4 55.9 62.0 2.2
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25.3 28.6 32.2 36.1 39.9 44.3 2.2
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.3 1.6
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163.6 183.1 201.4 220.5 238.1 257.1 1.8
Transportation
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85.9 95.4 104.1 112.9 122.7 133.8 1.7
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.8
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 -2.4
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.7
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87.7 97.5 106.3 115.4 125.3 136.5 1.7
All End-Use Sectors
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157.6 173.4 186.5 199.3 212.5 227.2 1.4
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71.3 79.9 87.2 95.4 102.0 108.8 1.6
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39.7 44.2 50.4 55.6 60.9 66.8 2.0
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52.1 61.9 70.6 79.0 87.2 96.1 2.4
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.9 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.3 1.5
Delivered Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 323.5 362.9 398.4 433.2 466.7 503.3 1.7
Electricity-Related Losses . . . . . . . . . . . 123.2 148.2 161.0 173.8 187.0 198.3 1.8
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 446.7 511.1 559.4 607.0 653.7 701.6 1.8
Electric Powera
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.6 10.5 11.0 11.3 11.6 11.6 0.4
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32.2 40.7 47.1 51.6 56.5 61.6 2.5
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74.7 92.2 101.2 111.6 122.0 132.4 2.2
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27.5 29.8 32.5 35.7 38.1 39.7 1.4
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30.3 36.9 39.8 42.7 46.0 49.2 1.9
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175.2 210.1 231.6 252.9 274.2 294.5 2.0
Total Energy Consumption
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168.2 183.9 197.6 210.6 224.1 238.9 1.4
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103.4 120.6 134.3 147.0 158.5 170.4 1.9
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114.5 136.4 151.6 167.2 182.9 199.1 2.2
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27.5 29.8 32.5 35.7 38.1 39.7 1.4
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33.2 40.4 43.4 46.5 50.1 53.5 1.9
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 446.7 511.1 559.4 607.0 653.7 701.6 1.8
a
Fuel inputs used in the production of electricity and heat at central-station generators.
Sources: 2004: Derived from Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Annual 2004 (May-July 2006), web site www.eia.
doe.gov/iea. Projections: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2007, DOE/EIA-0383(2007) (Washington, DC, February 2007), AEO2007 National Energy
Modeling System, run AEO2007.D112106A, web site www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo; and System for the Analysis of Global Energy Markets (2007).
Energy Information Administration / International Energy Outlook 2007 165
Appendix F
Table F2. Total OECD Delivered Energy Consumption by End-Use Sector and Fuel, 2004-2030
(Quadrillion Btu)
Projections Average Annual
Percent Change,
Sector/Fuel 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2004-2030
Residential
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.7 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 -0.1
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12.4 12.7 13.0 13.2 13.3 13.4 0.3
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 -1.4
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.2 10.5 11.1 11.6 12.2 12.9 1.3
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28.2 29.6 30.5 31.3 32.0 32.8 0.6
Commercial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.7 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.7 0.0
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.7 5.8 6.2 6.5 6.8 7.1 0.9
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 -0.6
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.6 10.0 10.8 11.6 12.5 13.5 1.7
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.2
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18.3 19.7 21.0 22.1 23.2 24.6 1.2
Industrial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28.4 27.9 28.4 28.7 29.2 30.0 0.2
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20.6 22.1 22.8 24.5 25.7 26.6 1.0
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.5 9.4 9.6 9.5 9.9 10.2 0.3
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11.8 12.4 13.0 13.6 14.1 15.0 0.9
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.2 1.5
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72.4 74.4 76.5 79.1 81.9 84.9 0.6
Transportation
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56.9 59.4 62.4 65.5 68.4 71.9 0.9
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.6
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.4
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57.9 60.5 63.7 66.9 69.9 73.4 0.9
All End-Use Sectors
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94.6 96.2 99.9 103.3 106.8 111.1 0.6
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39.3 41.4 42.9 45.2 46.7 48.1 0.8
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.1 9.9 10.0 9.9 10.3 10.6 0.2
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30.0 33.3 35.3 37.4 39.3 41.9 1.3
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.8 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.8 4.0 1.4
Delivered Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 176.8 184.1 191.5 199.4 207.0 215.7 0.8
Electricity-Related Losses . . . . . . . . . . . 62.9 70.3 73.7 75.7 78.9 82.3 1.0
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239.8 254.4 265.2 275.1 285.9 298.0 0.8
Electric Powera
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.3 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.4 -0.9
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13.8 18.2 21.1 22.3 23.3 24.2 2.2
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36.6 39.5 40.6 42.2 45.2 48.7 1.1
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23.2 24.5 25.3 26.0 26.4 27.3 0.6
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15.1 17.8 18.4 19.0 19.9 20.7 1.2
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92.9 103.6 109.0 113.1 118.2 124.2 1.1
Total Energy Consumption
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98.9 99.9 103.5 106.8 110.3 114.4 0.6
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53.1 59.6 64.0 67.5 70.0 72.3 1.2
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46.6 49.4 50.7 52.1 55.5 59.3 0.9
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23.2 24.5 25.3 26.0 26.4 27.3 0.6
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17.9 21.1 21.8 22.7 23.7 24.7 1.2
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239.8 254.4 265.2 275.1 285.9 298.0 0.8
a
Fuel inputs used in the production of electricity and heat at central-station generators.
Sources: 2004: Derived from Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Annual 2004 (May-July 2006), web site www.eia.
doe.gov/iea. Projections: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2007, DOE/EIA-0383(2007) (Washington, DC, February 2007), AEO2007 National Energy
Modeling System, run AEO2007.D112106A, web site www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo; and System for the Analysis of Global Energy Markets (2007).
166 Energy Information Administration / International Energy Outlook 2007
Reference Case Projections by End-Use Sector and Region
Table F3. Delivered Energy Consumption in the United States by End-Use Sector and Fuel, 2004-2030
(Quadrillion Btu)
Projections Average Annual
Percent Change,
Sector/Fuel 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2004-2030
Residential
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 -0.2
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.5 0.3
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.1
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.4 5.1 5.4 5.8 6.1 6.5 1.5
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11.4 12.2 12.7 13.2 13.5 13.8 0.7
Commercial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.3
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.2 3.3 3.6 3.9 4.1 4.4 1.2
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 -0.1
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.2 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.4 7.0 2.0
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.4 9.1 9.9 10.7 11.5 12.4 1.5
Industrial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.1 9.5 9.7 9.8 10.1 10.6 0.2
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.6 9.0 9.0 9.5 9.8 10.1 0.6
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.6 2.9 1.1
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.9 4.1 0.6
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.8 2.9 1.7
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26.2 26.3 27.0 27.8 29.2 30.5 0.6
Transportation
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27.2 29.1 31.3 33.4 35.7 38.3 1.3
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.5
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27.9 29.9 32.1 34.3 36.6 39.3 1.3
All End-Use Sectors
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39.7 40.9 43.3 45.5 48.0 51.1 1.0
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17.4 18.2 18.8 19.6 20.3 20.8 0.7
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.3 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.7 3.0 1.0
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12.1 13.5 14.5 15.4 16.5 17.6 1.5
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.5 1.4
Delivered Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73.9 77.5 81.7 86.0 90.8 96.0 1.0
Electricity-Related Losses . . . . . . . . . . . 26.8 29.0 30.6 32.2 33.6 35.1 1.1
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100.7 106.5 112.3 118.2 124.4 131.2 1.0
Electric Powera
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 -0.5
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.6 6.6 7.3 7.4 6.8 6.1 0.3
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20.3 22.1 23.5 25.1 27.9 31.1 1.7
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.2 8.2 8.5 9.2 9.2 9.3 0.5
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.6 4.7 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.2 1.4
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38.9 42.5 45.1 47.6 50.0 52.8 1.2
Total Energy Consumption
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40.8 41.8 44.3 46.5 49.0 52.1 0.9
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23.1 24.7 26.1 27.0 27.1 26.9 0.6
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22.6 24.2 25.6 27.3 30.6 34.1 1.6
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.2 8.2 8.5 9.2 9.2 9.3 0.5
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.0 7.5 7.8 8.1 8.4 8.7 1.4
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100.7 106.5 112.3 118.2 124.4 131.2 1.0
a
Fuel inputs used in the production of electricity and heat at central-station generators. Includes net electricity imports.
Sources: 2004: Based on Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2004, DOE/EIA-0384(2004) (Washington, DC, August
2006). Projections: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2007, DOE/EIA-0383(2007) (Washington, DC, February 2007), AEO2007 National Energy
Modeling System, run AEO2007.D112106A, web site www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo.
Energy Information Administration / International Energy Outlook 2007 167
Appendix F
Table F4. Delivered Energy Consumption in Canada by End-Use Sector and Fuel, 2004-2030
(Quadrillion Btu)
Projections Average Annual
Percent Change,
Sector/Fuel 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2004-2030
Residential
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.3
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.5
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 0.9
Commercial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 2.2
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.2
Industrial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 0.2
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.0 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 2.1
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.2
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.7 5.3 5.6 5.9 6.2 6.6 1.3
Transportation
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 0.3
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 0.3
All End-Use Sectors
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.6 0.3
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.2 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.5 4.8 1.6
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.2
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.6 1.5
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6
Delivered Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.6 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0 12.5 1.0
Electricity-Related Losses . . . . . . . . . . . 4.1 5.1 4.9 5.2 5.5 5.9 1.4
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13.6 15.5 15.9 16.7 17.5 18.4 1.2
Electric Powera
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 -2.7
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 2.2
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.4
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.7
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.3 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.6 4.9 1.4
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.9 7.1 7.1 7.6 8.0 8.5 1.4
Total Energy Consumption
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.7 0.2
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.5 4.1 4.3 4.7 5.0 5.3 1.7
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.6
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.7
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.5 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.7 5.0 1.4
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13.6 15.5 15.9 16.7 17.5 18.4 1.2
a
Fuel inputs used in the production of electricity and heat at central-station generators.
Sources: 2004: Derived from Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Annual 2004 (May-July 2006), web site www.eia.
doe.gov/iea. Projections: EIA, System for the Analysis of Global Energy Markets (2007).
168 Energy Information Administration / International Energy Outlook 2007
Reference Case Projections by End-Use Sector and Region
Table F5. Delivered Energy Consumption in Mexico by End-Use Sector and Fuel, 2004-2030
(Quadrillion Btu)
Projections Average Annual
Percent Change,
Sector/Fuel 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2004-2030
Residential
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.9
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.8
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 4.2
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 3.1
Commercial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.5
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 5.5
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 4.6
Industrial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.0
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 5.3
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 2.4
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.1
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.7 3.0 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.7 2.2
Transportation
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.3 2.3
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.3 2.3
All End-Use Sectors
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.1 3.4 3.7 4.3 4.6 5.1 1.9
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.6
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 5.3
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.8 3.3
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.3
Delivered Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.2 6.0 6.8 7.8 8.6 9.6 2.4
Electricity-Related Losses . . . . . . . . . . . 1.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.1
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.6 8.3 9.2 10.2 11.1 12.1 2.3
Electric Powera
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 -0.3
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 4.5
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 3.3
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 2.0
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2 3.3 3.5 3.7 4.0 4.2 2.6
Total Energy Consumption
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.8 4.3 4.6 5.1 5.3 5.8 1.6
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.9 2.7 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.6 3.4
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 3.8
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 2.3
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.6 8.3 9.2 10.2 11.1 12.1 2.3
a
Fuel inputs used in the production of electricity and heat at central-station generators.
Sources: 2004: Derived from Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Annual 2004 (May-July 2006), web site www.eia.
doe.gov/iea. Projections: EIA, System for the Analysis of Global Energy Markets (2007).
Energy Information Administration / International Energy Outlook 2007 169
Appendix F
Table F6. Delivered Energy Consumption in OECD Europe by End-Use Sector and Fuel, 2004-2030
(Quadrillion Btu)
Projections Average Annual
Percent Change,
Sector/Fuel 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2004-2030
Residential
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 -0.3
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.9 5.9 6.0 0.1
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 -1.4
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.5 0.8
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.8
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11.9 12.0 12.0 12.1 12.3 12.5 0.2
Commercial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 -0.4
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 0.3
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.5
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.2 0.9
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.9 0.5
Industrial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.0 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.2 9.2 0.1
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.4 7.6 7.8 8.5 8.7 8.8 0.6
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.1 2.9 2.9 -0.6
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.7 0.7
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24.6 24.9 25.3 26.0 26.2 26.6 0.3
Transportation
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18.2 18.3 18.5 18.8 19.0 19.2 0.2
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.6
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18.5 18.6 18.9 19.1 19.4 19.6 0.2
All End-Use Sectors
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31.2 31.1 31.3 31.5 31.7 31.9 0.1
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14.8 15.0 15.3 16.1 16.3 16.5 0.4
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.8 3.6 3.7 3.4 3.2 3.2 -0.7
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.4 10.9 11.2 11.7 12.1 12.8 0.8
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.5
Delivered Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60.3 60.8 61.7 62.9 63.6 64.6 0.3
Electricity-Related Losses . . . . . . . . . . . 20.8 23.3 24.1 23.2 23.9 24.6 0.7
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81.1 84.1 85.8 86.1 87.5 89.2 0.4
Electric Powera
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 -1.5
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.6 6.8 8.3 8.8 10.0 11.1 3.5
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.3 9.6 9.1 8.7 8.4 8.3 -0.4
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.9 10.2 10.0 9.3 9.3 9.4 -0.2
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.1 6.7 7.0 7.2 7.5 7.7 0.9
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31.1 34.2 35.4 34.9 36.0 37.3 0.7
Total Energy Consumption
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32.4 32.0 32.2 32.4 32.6 32.7 0.0
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19.3 21.8 23.6 24.8 26.3 27.6 1.4
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13.1 13.2 12.8 12.2 11.6 11.5 -0.5
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.9 10.2 10.0 9.3 9.3 9.4 -0.2
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.3 6.9 7.2 7.5 7.7 8.0 0.9
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81.1 84.1 85.8 86.1 87.5 89.2 0.4
a
Fuel inputs used in the production of electricity and heat at central-station generators.
Sources: 2004: Derived from Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Annual 2004 (May-July 2006), web site www.eia.
doe.gov/iea. Projections: EIA, System for the Analysis of Global Energy Markets (2007).
170 Energy Information Administration / International Energy Outlook 2007
Reference Case Projections by End-Use Sector and Region
Table F7. Delivered Energy Consumption in Japan by End-Use Sector and Fuel, 2004-2030
(Quadrillion Btu)
Projections Average Annual
Percent Change,
Sector/Fuel 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2004-2030
Residential
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 -0.7
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.8
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 0.9
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 0.4
Commercial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 -0.3
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.8
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5 0.5
Industrial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 0.0
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.2
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 -0.2
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 0.8
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.6 8.9 8.8 8.8 8.9 8.9 0.1
Transportation
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.4 0.2
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.1 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.4 0.3
All End-Use Sectors
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.1 10.0 10.1 10.1 10.2 10.2 0.0
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.9
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 -0.2
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.1 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.8 4.0 1.0
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3
Delivered Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16.9 17.5 17.6 17.6 17.8 18.0 0.2
Electricity-Related Losses . . . . . . . . . . . 5.7 6.0 6.6 7.0 7.2 7.5 1.0
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22.6 23.5 24.1 24.6 25.0 25.4 0.5
Electric Powera
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 -1.9
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.1 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.2 1.7
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 -0.1
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.2 1.7
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.1
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.8 9.6 10.2 10.7 11.0 11.4 1.0
Total Energy Consumption
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.9 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.6 10.7 -0.1
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.1 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.5 1.4
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.6 -0.1
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.2 1.7
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.0
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22.6 23.5 24.1 24.6 25.0 25.4 0.5
a
Fuel inputs used in the production of electricity and heat at central-station generators.
Sources: 2004: Derived from Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Annual 2004 (May-July 2006), web site www.eia.
doe.gov/iea. Projections: EIA, System for the Analysis of Global Energy Markets (2007).
Energy Information Administration / International Energy Outlook 2007 171
Appendix F
Table F8. Delivered Energy Consumption in South Korea by End-Use Sector and Fuel, 2004-2030
(Quadrillion Btu)
Projections Average Annual
Percent Change,
Sector/Fuel 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2004-2030
Residential
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.2
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 2.6
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1
Commercial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.7
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 2.9
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.5
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.8
Industrial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 1.0
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 1.8
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.5
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 2.2
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.1
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.7 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.7 4.9 1.2
Transportation
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.5 1.3
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.5 1.3
All End-Use Sectors
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.2 4.5 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.5 1.1
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.3
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.5
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.5
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
Delivered Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.9 7.6 8.2 8.6 9.0 9.5 1.3
Electricity-Related Losses . . . . . . . . . . . 2.1 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.9 2.4
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.0 9.6 10.8 11.8 12.5 13.4 1.6
Electric Powera
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 2.2
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.1
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.0
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.9
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.1 3.5 4.2 4.8 5.2 5.8 2.4
Total Energy Consumption
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.5 4.7 5.1 5.3 5.6 5.8 1.0
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.6
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.1 1.5
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.0
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.2
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.0 9.6 10.8 11.8 12.5 13.4 1.6
a
Fuel inputs used in the production of electricity and heat at central-station generators.
Sources: 2004: Derived from Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Annual 2004 (May-July 2006), web site www.eia.
doe.gov/iea. Projections: EIA, System for the Analysis of Global Energy Markets (2007).
172 Energy Information Administration / International Energy Outlook 2007
Reference Case Projections by End-Use Sector and Region
Table F9. Delivered Energy Consumption in Australia/New Zealand by End-Use Sector and Fuel, 2004-2030
(Quadrillion Btu)
Projections Average Annual
Percent Change,
Sector/Fuel 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2004-2030
Residential
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.8
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.3
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.0
Commercial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.4
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.7
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.4
Industrial
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.4
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 2.0
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.3
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.0
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.6 1.2
Transportation
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.0
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.0
All End-Use Sectors
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.5 0.8
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.9
Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.4
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
Delivered Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.0 4.3 4.6 4.9 5.2 5.4 1.1
Electricity-Related Losses . . . . . . . . . . . 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.0 1.3
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.2 6.8 7.2 7.6 8.0 8.4 1.2
Electric Powera
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 3.2
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.9 1.1
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.3
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.0 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 1.4
Total Energy Consumption
Liquids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.6 0.8
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.8
Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.4 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.2 3.3 1.2
Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.3
Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.2 6.8 7.2 7.6 8.0 8.4 1.2
a
Fuel inputs used in the production of electricity and heat at central-station generators.
Sources: 2004: Derived from Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Annual 2004 (May-July 2006), web site www.eia.
doe.gov/iea. Proj