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Reference Case Projections
Table A1. World Total Energy Consumption by Region, Reference Case, 1990-2030
(Quadrillion Btu)
History Projections Average Annual
Percent Change,
Region/Country 1990 2002 2003 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2003-2030
OECD
OECD North America . . . . . . . . . . . 100.8 117.5 118.3 131.4 139.9 148.4 157.0 166.2 1.3
United Statesa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84.6 98.1 98.1 107.9 114.2 120.6 127.0 133.9 1.2
Canada . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11.1 13.1 13.5 15.6 16.6 17.5 18.4 19.2 1.3
Mexico. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.0 6.2 6.8 7.9 9.1 10.3 11.7 13.2 2.5
OECD Europe . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69.9 77.9 78.9 84.4 87.2 88.7 91.3 94.5 0.7
OECD Asia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26.7 36.5 37.1 40.3 42.8 44.4 46.1 48.0 1.0
Japan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18.4 22.2 22.4 22.7 23.4 23.6 24.0 24.3 0.3
South Korea . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.8 8.4 8.6 10.9 12.3 13.3 14.4 15.5 2.2
Australia/New Zealand . . . . . . . . . . 4.4 6.0 6.0 6.6 7.0 7.4 7.8 8.2 1.2
Total OECD . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 197.4 231.9 234.3 256.1 269.9 281.6 294.5 308.8 1.0
Non-OECD
Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia. . . 67.2 46.9 48.5 56.5 62.8 68.7 74.0 79.0 1.8
Russia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39.0 28.1 29.1 33.3 36.5 39.6 42.4 44.8 1.6
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28.3 18.8 19.4 23.2 26.3 29.1 31.6 34.1 2.1
Non-OECD Asia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47.5 78.4 83.1 126.2 149.4 172.8 197.1 223.6 3.7
China. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27.0 42.1 45.5 77.0 91.8 106.6 121.7 139.1 4.2
India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.0 13.8 14.0 19.4 22.5 25.7 29.0 32.5 3.2
Other Non-OECD Asia . . . . . . . . . . 12.5 22.5 23.6 29.8 35.1 40.6 46.4 52.0 3.0
Middle East . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11.3 19.1 19.6 25.0 28.2 31.2 34.3 37.7 2.4
Africa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.5 12.8 13.3 17.7 20.5 22.3 24.3 26.8 2.6
Central and South America . . . . . . 14.5 21.3 21.9 28.2 32.5 36.5 41.2 45.7 2.8
Brazil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.8 8.6 8.8 10.8 12.4 13.8 15.5 17.2 2.5
Other Central and South America . . 8.8 12.7 13.1 17.4 20.1 22.7 25.7 28.5 2.9
Total Non-OECD . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150.0 178.4 186.4 253.6 293.5 331.5 371.0 412.8 3.0
Total World . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 347.3 410.3 420.7 509.7 563.4 613.0 665.4 721.6 2.0
a
Includes the 50 States and the District of Columbia.
Notes: Energy totals include net imports of coal coke and electricity generated from biomass in the United States. Totals may not
equal sum of components due to independent rounding. The electricity portion of the national fuel consumption values consists of
generation for domestic use plus an adjustment for electricity trade based on a fuel's share of total generation in the exporting coun-
try.
Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Annual 2003 (May-July 2005), web site www.eia.
doe.gov/iea/. Projections: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2006, DOE/EIA-0383(2006) (Washington, DC, February 2006), AEO2006
National Energy Modeling System, run AEO2006.D111905A, web site www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/; and System for the Analysis of
Global Energy Markets (2006).
Energy Information Administration / International Energy Outlook 2006 83