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Tags: axis, comtesse, cooperation, economy, emergence, interaction, interactivity, matrix, passive consumption, self service, xavier,
Pages: 14
Language: english
Created: Mon Jan 15 11:18:28 2007
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                                      Direct Economy
                                      An essay for a better understanding of the
                                      future


                                      By Xavier Laurent Comtesse, ThinkStudio.com




                                      English Summary1




                                      1
                                          Full version (in french) at http://www.thinkstudio.com




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                                Findings
                                         The changes brought about by the emergence and use of technologies of
                                         cooperation can be analyzed through a matrix tracking levels of knowledge on
                                         one axis, and levels of interactivity of the other axis.

                                         Levels of Interactivity:

                                             o    Passive consumption: The consumer is getting products or services with
                                                  no real interaction and no real choice. He has to take whatever is
                                                  available.
                                             o    Self Service: The consumer is given the ability to choose between
                                                  various products or services.
                                             o    DIY: Do It Yourself: The consumer starts getting involved in the value
                                                  chain.
                                             o    Co-design: The consumer starts adding value by customizing the product
                                                  and therefore defining his needs himself (as opposed to buying a product
                                                  defined by the product management team).
                                             o    Co-creation: The consumer is involved in the design of the product or
                                                  service itself.

                                         Levels of knowledge

                                             o    Raw Data: Data, typically from measurements, or attributes (small, big,
                                                  expensive, etc...)
                                             o    Information: Data that I can make sense of. Data within a referential or
                                                  data that can be tied to a process, so that I establish a first level of
                                                  knowledge. If I can measure, and if I can compare, I will be able to
                                                  develop a better sense of understanding
                                             o    Classification, categorization: When I can better define the context, place
                                                  the information into categories
                                             o    Process/Time: When you start introducing the concept of time, and
                                                  evolution over time.
                                             o    Logic: When you understand enough of a thing that you can capture this
                                                  understanding into a logical model. From this comes automation.




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                                One Sentence Summary
                                Most issues related to the social, political and economic changes we are witnessing today
                                due to the emergence and use of technologies of cooperation can be analyzed by using a
                                matrix tracking levels of knowledge on one axis, and levels of interactivity of the other
                                axis.




                                One Paragraph Summary
                                The world is changing and we hear the thought leaders talk about crowdsourcing,
                                collective intelligence, the power of networks, etc... All these major trends are impacting
                                the social, political and economic arenas. Xavier Comtesse now proposes to look at
                                these events through the lens of a matrix that tracks the various levels of knowledge on
                                one axis, and the various levels of interactivity of the other axis.

                                The various levels of knowledge are Raw Data, Information, Classification/categorization,
                                Process/Time, and Logic.

                                The various levels of interactivity are Passive consumption, Self Service, Do It Yourself,
                                Co-design, and Co-creation.

                                Looking at such a matrix can help understand and analyze a disruptive process within a
                                company, but also it can help analyze a market, or define a strategy or confirm
                                product/service requirements.
                                The model has been tested against existing known cases and has been validated by
                                entrepreneurs who have experienced transformation and witnessed the results of such
                                disruption in their businesses. Similar to the fundamental change that Direct Democracy
                                brought to Switzerland, the world seems to be evolving towards a Direct Economy that
                                radically changes the underlying mechanism we rely on today.




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                                Full Summary
                                Background

                                The story starts at a banker's conference where Xavier was doing a presentation on e-
                                Banking. The room suddenly woke up at the last slide when he offered a model to explain
                                how banks could move forward. The impact was stunning, all of a sudden everybody
                                wanted to jump into the discussion.

                                The model was the result of observations from Swissquote Inc, where intermediaries had
                                become agents of change within the company and had help transform it into a
                                hyperproductive company.

                                The model has since then been refined, with the definition of the "transformActors" and
                                "ConsumActors", and the classification of knowledge (inspired from Mathematics) and
                                interactivity along the 2 axis of a matrix.

                                The model has also been validated against 3 real cases with 3 Swiss companies:
                                Swissquote, Largeur.com and Cla-Val.




                                The Model

                                1. The problem:
                                low cost offshoring, baby boomers reaching retirement age, etc... create tension in the
                                economy. And the answer is not in lowering costs, but rather in achieving high
                                productivity.

                                2. The solution:
                                changing Consumers into ConsumActors. We have heard of crowdsourcing, but the real
                                underlying change is that the customers are getting more involved into the value chain.

                                3. Technologies of Cooperation
                                While technology helps improve processes, the real value behind these technologies is
                                the shift in the interactivity between the producers and the consumers: consumers are
                                getting used to getting more and more involved into the process (self service, product
                                configuration and customization, etc...)




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                                4. Levels of interactivity

                                The level of interactivity that is possible with ConsumActors can be classified as follows:

                                4.1 Passive consumption:
                                The consumer is getting products or services with no real interaction and no real choice.
                                He has to take whatever is available.

                                4.2 Self Service
                                The consumer is now given the ability to choose between various products or services.
                                This first step is already a huge step forward, as the consumer can go around the vendor
                                to pick and choose what he wants.

                                4.3 DIY: Do It Yourself
                                At this level, the consumer starts getting involved in the value chain. This is what IKEA
                                offers, where you are not just buying a product, you are actually also delivering it to your
                                home and building it yourself. This case is an example of the first disruption from the
                                standard retail value chain.

                                4.4 Co-design
                                At this level, the consumer starts adding value by customizing the product and therefore
                                defining his needs himself (as opposed to buying a product defined by the product
                                management team). This is what Dell is asking from customers when they have to pick
                                and choose options to build a computer.

                                4.5 Co-creation
                                This is the ultimate level of involvement, where the consumer is actually involved in the
                                design of the product or service itself. This is what Open Source does for developers, and
                                what Wikipedia does for knowledge consumers. Similarly Procter and Gamble has a
                                "Connect and Develop" program that lets innovators define products.




                                5. Levels of knowledge

                                Being able to interact at the various level listed above requires various levels of access to
                                knowledge. For example co-designing a computer on the Dell website implies that the
                                consumer has a good understanding of the various components and their importance
                                within the system. A slow processor with lots of memory, or a fast processor with very
                                little RAM are not going to be good options.
                                And then knowledge includes a notion of context that should also be taken into account:
                                knowing that something is small is only useful relative to a context: is Jean small because
                                he is only 4 years old, or is he small because most people his age are typically 5' tall?

                                Following these concepts, knowledge can be classified as follows:



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                                5.1 Basic Knowledge

                                5.1.1 Raw Data
                                Data, typically from measurements, or attributes (small, big, expensive, etc...)

                                5.1.2 Information
                                Information is data that I can make sense of. Data within a referential or data that can be
                                tied to a process, so that I can establish a first level of knowledge. If I can measure, and if
                                I can compare, I will be able to develop a sense of understanding: Jean is 4 feet, and I
                                can measure his classmates to decide whether Jean is small or not. From information I
                                can develop basic knowledge.

                                5.2 Formal knowledge

                                5.2.1 Classification, categorization
                                This second level of knowledge is when I can better define the context. In the example of
                                Jean, I can place the information into categories to reach another level of understanding:
                                boy/girl, small/tall. By defining categories and sub-categories, I can refine the level of
                                knowledge I have.

                                5.2.2 Process/Time
                                The third level of knowledge is when you start introducing the concept of time, and
                                evolution over time. This introduces another level of complexity and another level of
                                understanding beyond what can be known now.

                                5.2.3 Logic
                                The final level of knowledge is when you understand enough of a thing that you can
                                capture this understanding into a logical model. From this comes automation. This is how
                                we started building calculators, encapsulating logic into a machine, and now expanding to
                                building transistors into microchips to build computers for example. It all seems as if
                                mathematic algorithms were slowly but irreversibly being materialized into automated
                                processes. And we are only at the very beginning of an exponential curve in this area.

                                5.3. Informal Knowledge
                                Another type of knowledge that will not be considered in this document, but should be
                                mentioned, is informal knowledge.

                                5.3.1 Informal Experience
                                This is knowledge learned from accumulated experience. This is how people learn how to
                                drive for example

                                5.3.2 Informal Thinking
                                This is the knowledge from "soft" fields, for example philosophical, cultural, religious,
                                moral or ethical knowledge. They should not be ignored since they are at the forefront of




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                                the political, social and cultural scene. An expression of this type of knowledge is on
                                display in blogs or reality TV shows for example.

                                The management of Knowledge is what has led to major changes in the way we work
                                today:

                                    ·    It all started with the concept of "Community of practice" presented by Etienne
                                         Wenger on 9/18/88
                                    ·    It evolved towards becoming a core engine of the enterprise, with Knowledge
                                         Management, to manage both static (as in encyclopedias) and dynamic
                                         knowledge (as in knowledge facilitated by groupware, starting with email).
                                    ·    It has also now been opened and shared to allow for collective intelligence,
                                         benefiting both from internal and external input.
                                    ·

                                6. The matrix

                                Using the 2 axis that were defined, it is possible to create a matrix that can be used to
                                resolve the issue of transferring production from the producer to the consumer.

                                On the vertical axis:
                                Data - info - classification/categories - time process - model

                                On the horizontal axis:
                                Receive - Self Service - Do It Yourself - Co-design - Co-creation

                                To use the matrix you need to start from the bottom left (data/Receive), to then evolve
                                towards the right to include the consumer into the value chain and define the level of
                                knowledge that needs to be transferred to the consumer to enable his involvement.




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                                                                    Customer Productivity Transfer Matrix
                                                                                GENERAL
                                KNOWLEDE
                                TRANSFER

                                MODELISATION
                                                                      NEWS/ALARM    RISK MODEL


                                TIME PROCESS                                                         E_TRADE
                                                                      PUSH NEWS      E-AUCTION                     WIKIPEDIA

                                CLASSIFICATION
                                CATEGORY                               SECTORIA     E-COMMAND TRANSACTION            E-DESIGN
                                                                       L NEWS

                                INFO                                    NEWS        HYPERTEXT                      COMMUNAUTY
                                                                                                     E-MAIL                         BLOGS
                                                                                                                                  NEWS
                                                                                                                   OF PRACTICE

                                DATA                                  DATABANK
                                                                                                                                INTERACTIVITY
                                                                                                                                TRANSFER
                                                                        RECEIVE    SELF-SERVICE   DO IT YOURSELF    CO-DESIGN    CO-CREATION

                                Copyright: Dr.Xavier L. Comtesse,
                                ThinkStudio,2006




                                7. The matrix can be used for several analytical purposes

                                7.1 Historical analysis - the matrix can be used to compare the result of 2 strategies used
                                at different times, to analyze why one worked better than the other:
                                Nestle had tried to sell Nespresso through the regular channels without much success.
                                Then they decided to change strategy (break with history) and created the Club
                                Nespresso, where customers are educated and provided with a tool to order directly
                                online, which completely change the buying and consuming experience

                                7.2. Market analysis - the matrix can be used to compare the strategy of two different
                                companies on the same market:
                                Napster introduced technology that allowed users to download songs for free. The
                                technology also allowed mixing and matching of songs so that users could create their
                                own CDs. The same concept was then used by Apple to create iTune and the iPod, while
                                Sony decided to simply extend its existing model to make room for this new technology,
                                but trying to keep as-is the control of the IP.
                                The matrix shows that the game was about adding a level of freedom in the consumption
                                of songs, rather than just extending technology.




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                                7.3 Strategic analysis - the matrix can be used to define where to direct future
                                developments:
                                Telcos are being threatened by VOIP, which allows near free communication anywhere
                                around the world. Several options are available for them to react: bundle services, or offer
                                new services for mobile, where VOIP is not a player today. Docomo is now offering
                                payments through mobile phones, thus starting to compete with banks. The matrix can
                                help figure out which players they should work with to make this strategy successful

                                7.4 Positioning analysis - the matrix can help position a product on a market. A computer
                                is a complex thing and I can decide to buy through an expert who will help me design the
                                computer I need, or I can go to Dell to build online my own. The 2 market segments can
                                co-exist today, but the matrix can help understand which market will survive in the long
                                term

                                8. Case studies

                                8.1 Swissquote (a Swiss equivalent of eTrade)
                                From the CEO prospective, the success of Swissquote is due to:

                                    ·    Empowerment: providing the right information and tools to customers to allow
                                         them to trade online
                                    ·    Monitoring: performing statistical analysis to evaluate risk, as a tool for both the
                                         bank and the users
                                    ·    E-wealth management: tools to help users optimize their investments

                                One challenge was and still is the education of customers. 2 types of classes are offered:
                                first step (free), and paying classes on specific topics. This is a very costly undertaking, a
                                risk taken to help the transformation

                                The other challenge is to provide the right tools, allowing to perform complex operations
                                while remaining user friendly. This challenge still needs to be addressed today.

                                Looking at the banking industry, there are 2 major trends that can be identified:

                                    ·    Communities of practice are taking over the education of consumers and
                                         improved interactions
                                    ·    Models need to be improved to help provide more sophisticated tools

                                The matrix can help clarify these trends and challenges

                                8.2 Largeur.com - citizen journalism
                                After several experiments, Largeur.com has settled for a model where they produce high
                                quality journalism but getting the content from freelancers and offering aggressive prices.
                                Once the customer base was established, they looked into opening the platform to




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                                students and other members of the civil society (teachers, thought leaders but also
                                unemployed people), which are representative of the audience they are addressing
                                already.

                                The media industry is organized around 3 major poles:

                                    ·    Convergence (synergy between traditional media and the Internet) - Financial
                                         Times, Wall Street Journal
                                    ·    Divergence (break from the traditional model to go towards a crowdsourcing
                                         approach) - OhMyNews
                                    ·    Complementarities (compromise between the other two) - TSR.ch

                                The matrix can help rationalize the various content production and content delivery tools
                                (blogs, RSS, Web, SMS/MMS, and Newspapers) to better understand the media industry

                                8.3 Cla-Val - pumps to regulate pressure
                                They have evolved around 4 major poles:

                                    ·    Commoditization: they have accumulated over the years more than 100 standard
                                         products
                                    ·    Customization: their customers cannot get an end to end solution from just the
                                         standard products
                                    ·    Geographical expansion: the experience gained in the implementation of custom
                                         solutions opens new geographical markets and allows rapid expansion
                                    ·    Customer innovation: customization has also introduced flexibility into the
                                         system, and combined with remote management capabilities has enabled co-
                                         innovation

                                The matrix clearly shows how this evolution was possible.

                                9. Conclusion

                                Direct economy is the result of 5 major factors:

                                    ·    Introduction of the consumer into the value chain
                                    ·    Death of the old intermediaries, to leave room for new types of interactions
                                    ·    Empowerment of ordinary people to include them in the innovation process,
                                         which creates the issue of Intellectual Property and how to handle it
                                    ·    Emergence of new business models that threaten the existing monopolies
                                    ·    Emergence of new pricing models: donations (OhMyNews) or Bidding (EBay).

                                IKEA, Easyjet, Dell, Nokia, L'Oreal, Procter&Gamble, Swissquote are examples of the
                                transformations that can be implemented. Companies have to move towards hypergrowth
                                to survive.




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                                What is interesting is that new sub-categories of products are being created in the
                                process (song vs. album), that banks and credit cards were not setup to handle originally.
                                Hel looks and The Satorialist are examples of what is happening in the fashion industry.
                                Istockphoto, Innocentive or Marketocracy are example of consumer involvement in the
                                value chain.

                                In conclusion, isn't it that the changes we are witnessing in the economy are similar to
                                what happened with Direct Democracy in Switzerland?
                                The consumers have been empowered, and are we not slowly evolving towards a Direct
                                Economy, completely changing the underlying principles of the Global Economy as we
                                know it today?

                                10. Epilogue

                                While Switzerland introduced Direct Democracy, they are now lagging in their e-
                                government implementation effort. The matrix can help understand what is happening
                                and what needs to be done. It can help compare what is available today against what
                                others in Europe are doing. The key is to enable the transformation towards the ultimate
                                New Business Model.




                                Why New Business Model?
                                 The old principles no longer work in the new age. Businesses have reached the old
                                 model's limits with respect to complexity and speed. The real problem is "a ruinously
                                 dysfunctional mismatch between today's business environment and the classic
                                 business model... Quite simply, the wrong model may transform a company into the
                                 vehicle of its own death."2
                                 Great shifts - genuine and radical transformation - have been shaping the economy and
                                 business environment in recent decades. Technology, especially information and
                                 communication one, has radically altered the requirements for building and managing a
                                 successful business. In this new business climate, although the basic command-and-
                                 control business model has survived, it has lost its effectiveness significantly.
                                 The successful companies in the future will be ones wise enough to harness the full
                                 potential of the entire organization in the rapidly changing business environment. "The
                                 world is going to be too tough and competitors too ingenious as companies are shaken
                                 loose from traditional ways of conducting business. The winners will be the unbridled
                                 firms that are responsive to challenges and adroit in both creating and capturing
                                 opportunities. To match a business environment that is more networked within and
                                 among companies, the ability to manufacture value will have to be distributed across
                                 the company to much a greater extent than in the past."2




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                                 New Focus
                                 Today's most successful executives, while still greatly concerned with cost structure,
                                 maximizing operational effectiveness, and business process reengineering, have shifted
                                 their focus to issues of how to build capabilities for faster growth, how to attract and
                                 retain the best people, how to develop leaders at all levels in the company, how to
                                 manage knowledge effectively, how to become a true learning organization, and how to
                                 be more effective global corporations.
                                 The new business model has much stronger focus on the basics of what ultimately
                                 creates value today - people, knowledge, and coherence.2 It fosters the creation of
                                 value and ensures that each piece of the business contributes to system-wide value. It
                                 also goes beyond the workplace and the interface between government and business
                                 and looks into building a favorable social climate within and around the company.
                                 Many leading companies around the world have made attempts to evolve a new
                                 business model. While the paradigm is shifting, it has yet to reach the new stable state
                                 however.


                                 The Growing Role of the Business Model Architect


                                 In today's knowledge- and innovation-driven complex economy, business architects are
                                 in growing demand. They are cross-functionally excellent people who can tie several
                                 silos of business development expertise together, create synergies, design winning
                                 business model and a balanced business system and then lead people who will put
                                 their plans into action... More


                                 Extended Enterprise


                                 The term "extended enterprise" represents a new concept that a company is made up
                                 not just of its employees, its board members, and executives, but also its business
                                 partners, its suppliers, and its customers. The notion of extended enterprise includes
                                 many different arrangements such as virtual integration, outsourcing, distribution
                                 agreements, collaborative marketing, R&D program partnerships, alliances, joint
                                 ventures, preferred suppliers, and customer partnership... More




                                The rise of the creative consumer
                                LAST November, engineers in the healthcare division of General Electric (GE) unveiled
                                something called the "LightSpeed VCT", a scanner that can create a startlingly good
                                three-dimensional image of a beating heart. This spring Staples, an American office-




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                                supplies retailer, will stock its shelves with a gadget called a "wordlock", a padlock that
                                uses words instead of numbers. In Munich, meanwhile, engineers at BMW have begun
                                prototyping telematics (combining computing and telecoms) and online services for a new
                                generation of luxury cars. The connection? In each case, the firm's customers have
                                played a big part (GE, BMW) or the leading role (Staples) in designing the product.

                                How does innovation happen? The familiar story involves boffins in academic institutes
                                and R&D labs. But lately, corporate practice has begun to challenge this old-fashioned
                                notion. Open-source software development is already well-known. Less so is the fact that
                                Bell, an American bicycle-helmet maker, has collected hundreds of ideas for new
                                products from its customers, and is putting several of them into production. Or that
                                Electronic Arts (EA), a maker of computer games, ships programming tools to its
                                customers, posts their modifications online and works their creations into new games.
                                And so on. Not only is the customer king: now he is market-research head, R&D chief
                                and product-development manager, too.

                                This is not all new. Researchers such as Nikolaus Franke at the University of Vienna and
                                Christian Lüthje at the Technical University of Hamburg have demonstrated the
                                importance of past user contributions to the evolution of everything from sporting
                                equipment to construction materials and scientific instruments. But the rise of online
                                communities, together with the development of powerful and easy-to-use design tools,
                                seems to be boosting the phenomenon, as well as bringing it to the attention of a wider
                                audience, says Eric Von Hippel of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, who is
                                about to publish a book, "Democratising Innovation" (MIT Press). "User innovation has
                                always been around," he says. "The difference is that people can no longer deny that it is
                                happening." Indeed, it is "very likely that the majority of innovation happens this way,"
                                says Mr Von Hippel. Such innovation, he says, has a "much higher rate of success".

                                According to Mr Von Hippel, in the past firms have mostly resisted customer innovation or
                                not known what to do with it. American farmers were lobbying manufacturers to make
                                cars with detachable back seats as early as 1909. It took Detroit more than a decade to
                                "invent" the pick-up truck. Even now, carmakers respond to customer modifications such
                                as performance-exhaust systems by voiding the warranty. Within three weeks of
                                launching "Mindstorms", a build-it-yourself robot development system, in 1997, Lego was
                                facing around 1,000 hackers who had downloaded its operating system, vastly improved
                                it, and posted their work freely online. After a long stunned silence, Lego appears to have
                                accepted the merits of this community's work: programs written in hacker language may
                                now be uploaded to the Mindstorms website, for example.

                                Consummer innovation

                                BMW's efforts to harness the creativity of its customers began two years ago, says Joerg
                                Reimann, the firm's head of marketing innovation management, when it posted a toolkit
                                on its website. This toolkit let BMW's customers develop ideas showing how the firm
                                could take advantage of advances in telematics and in-car online services. From the
                                1,000 customers who used the toolkit, BMW chose 15 and invited them to meet its



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                                engineers in Munich. Some of their ideas (which remain under wraps for now) have since
                                reached the prototype stage, says BMW. "They were so happy to be invited by us, and
                                that our technical experts were interested in their ideas," says Mr Reimann. "They didn't
                                want any money." BMW is now broadening its customer-innovation efforts.

                                Westwood Studios, a game developer now owned by EA, first noticed its customers
                                innovating its products after the launch of a game, "Red Alert", in 1996: gamers were
                                making new content for existing games and posting it freely on fan websites. Westwood
                                "made a conscious decision to embrace this phenomenon", says Mike Verdu of EA. Soon
                                it was shipping basic game-development tools with its games, and by 1999 had a
                                dedicated department to feed designers and producers working on new projects with
                                customer innovations of existing ones. "The fan community has had a tremendous
                                influence on game design," says Mr Verdu, "and the games are better as a result."

                                Traditionally, firms have innovated by sending out market researchers to discover "unmet
                                needs" among their customers. These researchers report back. The firm decides which
                                ideas to develop and hands them over to project-development teams. Studies suggest
                                that about three-quarters of such projects fail. Harnessing customer innovation requires
                                different methods, says Mr Von Hippel. Instead of taking the temperature of a
                                representative sample of customers, firms must identify the few special customers who
                                innovate.

                                Researchers call such customers "lead users". GE's healthcare division calls them
                                "luminaries". They tend to be well-published doctors and research scientists from leading
                                medical institutions, says GE, which brings up to 25 luminaries together at regular
                                medical advisory board sessions to discuss the evolution of GE's technology. GE then
                                shares some of its advanced technology with a subset of luminaries who form an "inner
                                sanctum of good friends", says Sholom Ackelsberg of GE Healthcare. GE's products then
                                emerge from collaboration with these groups.

                                Staples found its luminaries by holding a competition among customers to come up with
                                new product ideas. It got 8,300 submissions, says Michael Collins, boss of the Big Idea
                                Group, a start-up firm that helped Staples to organise its competition.

                                At the heart of most thinking about innovation is the belief that people expect to be paid
                                for their creative work: hence the need to protect and reward the creation of intellectual
                                property. One really exciting thing about user-led innovation is that customers seem
                                willing to donate their creativity freely, says Mr Von Hippel. This may be because it is their
                                only practical option: patents are costly to get and often provide only weak protection.
                                Some people may value the enhanced reputation and network effects of freely revealing
                                their work more than any money they could make by patenting it. Either way, some firms
                                are starting to believe that there really is such a thing as a free lunch.




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